The PMDI value for this location is 1.0 to 1.9, indicating abnormally wet (W0) conditions. Tree rings were used to reconstruct a Palmer Modified Drought Index (PMDI) value for each JuneAugust, estimating relative dryness. 90100F Learn more about these categories. At this point last week, we had areas along and west of Interstate 35 in "severe" drought as opposed to "extreme" drought. This map integrates multiple drought indices measuring precipitation and moisture into one computer-generated drought map, with a reference period of 1979present. According to these indices, current conditions are drier than 80% to 90% of past conditions. Learn more about these categories. Learn more about these categories. US heat wave forecast updates: Deaths in Arizona, August outlook drought increased for the fourth . Drought results from an imbalance between water supply and water demand. This weekly look ahead is modified from the U.S. Drought Monitor's National Drought Summary for July 18, 2023, written by Richard Tinker (NOAA's Climate Prediction Center) and Brad Rippey (U.S. Department of Agriculture). Get email updates when U.S. Drought Monitor conditions change for your location or a new drought outlook is released. The Climate Prediction Center updates their 814 day outlooks daily. View examples of past drought impactsor explore historical Drought Monitor maps. There is an 50%60% chance of below-normal temperatures during this period.  40%50% Chance of Below Normal According to these indices, current conditions are wetter than 95% to 98% of past conditions. Drought/dryness has improved by 2 categories, according to the U.S. Drought Monitor. Drought in Texas - Texas Comptroller of Public Accounts There is an 33%40% chance of above-normal precipitation during this period.  40%50% Chance of Above Normal What's more is the majority of the regression was inside the Highland Lakes system, and lake levels have trended in the wrong direction as a result. Lake Travis is now at 43% and Lake Buchanan is at 58%. 5th10th Percentile Texas drought reaches 10-year peak, Austin heat reaches July record This map shows the amount of liquid precipitation (in inches) expected to fall over the next 1 day, according to the National Weather Service. According to these indices, current conditions are drier than 70% to 80% of past conditions. The average maximum temperature was46F warmer than normal for this location. View typical impacts by state. 01F Below Normal According to these indices, current conditions are wetter than 90% to 95% of past conditions. Learn more about these categories. The Climate Prediction Center updates their 610 day precipitation outlook daily. Extreme Wet (95th98th Percentile) Local Drought Status - National Weather Service Compared to "normal" conditions, evaporative demand is forecast to be greater than 98%to 100% of historical values. There is an 60%70% chanceof above-normal precipitation during this period. There is an 50%60% chance of below-normal temperatures during this period.  40%50% Chance of Below Normal Learn more. This map is released every Thursday morning, with data valid through Tuesday at 7am Eastern. View the latest drought-related news, upcoming events, and recordings and summaries of past webinars. Compared to "normal" conditions, current evaporative demand is forecast to be in the bottom 20%to 30% of historical values (i.e., only 20%30% of previous values had lower evaporative demand). The PMDI value for this location is 3.0 to 3.9, indicating severe wet (W2) conditions. Southern Plains Drought Status Updates Drought/dryness has worsened by 2 categories, according to the U.S. Drought Monitor. D2 (PMDI of -3.9 to -3.0) Now, some Texas cities, water districts, and companies are considering the . D2 Severe Drought Texas' drought may last through winter despite current rains | The This map shows current streamflow conditions compared to historical conditions for the same day of the year. AUSTIN, Texas We've reached Thursday, which can only mean one thing: the new drought monitor has been released by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). There is an 33%40% chance of above-normal precipitation during this period.  40%50% Chance of Above Normal When large-scale anomalies in atmospheric circulation patterns last for months or seasons, prolonged drought occurs (, In temperate regions (above 30 north latitude), long-range forecasts have limited reliability. Current Map | U.S. Drought Monitor The Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) value for this location is2.0 or greater, indicating exceptional wet (W4) conditions. NIDIS supports drought research through advancing the scientific understanding of the mechanisms that lead to drought as well as improving the coordination and delivery of drought information. W0 (SPI of 0.5 to 0.7) Not Ranked Soil moisture at 20cm depth is in the bottom 2% (02nd percentile) of historical measurements for this day of the year.  2nd5th Percentile Tree rings were used to reconstruct a Palmer Modified Drought Index (PMDI) value for each JuneAugust, estimating relative dryness. The Climate Prediction Center issues its Monthly Drought Outlooks on the last day of the calendar month. Soil moisture at 20cm depth falls between the 95th to 98th percentile of historical measurements for this day of the year. Soil moisture at 20cm depth falls betweenthe 5thto 10th percentile of historical measurements for this day of the year. Compared to "normal" conditions, current evaporative demand is forecast to be in the bottom 20% to 30% of historical values (i.e., only 20%30% of previous values had lower evaporative demand). Learn more about these categories. Extreme Drought During this time period, drought development is forecast. The Climate Prediction Center issues its Seasonal Drought Outlooks on the third Thursday of each calendar month. 3-Category Improvement This location received24 inches of precipitation during this 7-day period. Soil moisture at 20cm depth is in the bottom 2%(02nd percentile) of historical measurements for this day of the year. Soil moisture at 20cm depth falls between the 90th to 95th percentile of historical measurements for this day of the year.  95th98th Percentile Moderate Drought (D1) is the first of four drought categories (D1D4), according to the U.S. Drought Monitor. View typical impacts by state. from normal 57th wettest JanuaryMay on record (since 1895) 10.84 in. 11 22 33 44 55. mph. Learn more about these categories. Estimated streamflow is in the 90th100th percentile of historical streamflow values recorded at this gauge on this day of the year. Learn more. Exceptional Drought (D4) is the most intense drought category, according to the U.S. Drought Monitor. 2-Category Improvement Severe Wet (90th95th Percentile) Current Texas Drought Conditions. Drought data monitoring page for West Texas - National Weather Service W0 (PMDI of 1.0 to 1.9) There is an 50%60% chance of above-normal temperatures during this period.  60%70% Chance of Above Normal The U.S. Drought Monitor depicts the location and intensity of drought across the country. There is an 33%40% chance of below-normal precipitation during this period.  33%40% Chance of Above Normal Monthly Drought Outlook, NOAA Climate Prediction Center | U.S. This experimental subseasonal EDDI forecast shows projected evaporative demand for the next 28 days from the CFS-gridMET dataset at 4-km gridded resolution. Total Area in Drought (D1D4) Drought Maps. There is an 70%80% chanceof above-normal precipitation during this period. The Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) value for this location is between 1.6 to 1.9, indicating extreme wet (W3) conditions. Odds favor near-normal precipitation during this period. Abnormally Dry (D0) indicates a region that is going into or coming out of drought, according to the U.S. Drought Monitor. According to the National Weather Service's Weather Prediction Center, over the next 5 days(July 20 24, 2023) moderate to heavy precipitation is expected across parts of the central and southern High Plains from central New Mexico northward into southeast Wyoming, and eastward across western Kansas, the Oklahoma Panhandle, and adjacent locales. Current Hazards. The Palmer Index is most effective in determining long term drought, a matter of several month, and is not as good with short-term forecasts (a matter of weeks). Drought Improves There is an 80%90% chance of above-normal temperatures during this period.  >90% Chance of Above Normal View typical impacts by state. There is an 50%60% chanceof below-normal precipitation during this period. The https:// ensures that you are connecting to the official website and that any information you provide is encrypted and transmitted securely. 88% percent of Texas in drought, conditions could worsen - FOX 26 Houston Assessment of Historic and Future Trends of Extreme Weather In Texas, 19002036, Fourth National Climate Assessment | Chapter 23: Southern Great Plains, NOAA/NCEI | 2022 Texas State Climate Summary, Texas A&M AgriLife Extension | Managing for Drought on the Rangelands, Texas A&M AgriLife Extension | Drought in Texas. San Angelo, TX - National Weather Service EDDI subseasonal forecasts are updated daily, with a delay of several days. During this time period, drought development is forecast. total precipitation Increase of 0.83 in. This map integrates multiple drought indices measuring precipitation and moisture into one computer-generated drought map, with a reference period of 1979present. During this time period, drought is forecast to persist. W2 (PMDI of 3.0 to 3.9) D4 (SPI of -2.0 or less) A number of physical indicators are important for monitoring drought, such as precipitation & temperature, water supply (e.g., streamflow, reservoirs), and soil moisture. Drought Alert Emails There is a>90% chanceof above-normal temperatures during this period. Precipitation was 150% to 200% of the historical average for this location, compared to the same date range from 19912020.  200%300% of Normal There is an 70%80% chanceof below-normal temperatures during this period. The average maximum temperature was more than 8F colder than normal for this location. The PMDI value for this location is -4.9 to -4.0, indicating extreme drought (D3) conditions. Exceptional Drought (02nd Percentile) This map integrates multiple drought indices measuring precipitation and moisture into one computer-generated drought map, with a reference period of 1979present. There has been no change in drought conditions at this location. The Climate Prediction Center issues its Monthly Drought Outlooks on the last day of the calendar month. Total costs to the entire state economy are unknown. The 7-day average daily maximum temperature is between4060F. Odds favor near-normal precipitation during this period. The Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) value for this location is between -1.2 to -0.8, indicating moderate drought (D1) conditions. There is an 50%60% chanceof below-normal temperatures during this period. Percent Normal Precipitation: Single Image. The seasonal drought outlook for July - September 2023 is based on official forecasts at various time scales, climatology, and an anticipated response in the midlatitude pattern to developing El Nio conditions across the equatorial Pacific. >90% Chance of Below Normal This map is updated every 5 days, with a delay of 4 to 5 days to allow for data collection and quality control. NIDIS is a multi-agency partnership that coordinates drought monitoring, forecasting, planning, and information at national, state, and local levels across the country. D4 Exceptional Drought According to these indices, current conditions are wetter than 98%to 100% of past conditions. There is an 60%70% chanceof below-normal temperatures during this period. Data are available monthly from 1895present. Outlooks & Forecasts | Drought.gov W4 (SPI of 2.0 or more) Stacker cited data from U.S. Drought Monitor to identify the counties in Texas with the worst droughts in the week leading up to July 05, 2023. Predicting drought in Texas depends on the ability to forecast precipitation and temperature within the context of complex climate interactions. Exceptional Wet (02nd Percentile) Plantings and fieldwork that require rainfall are being delayed in the hopes that moisture will arrive sooner than later. The average maximum temperature was 13F colder than normal for this location. Social Media. The 7-day average daily maximum temperature is between 7080F. The Long-Term MIDI approximatesdrought impacts from changes in precipitation and moistureover a long-term timeframe (up to 5 years), such as impacts to irrigated agriculture, groundwater, and reservoir levels. Tree rings were used to reconstruct a Palmer Modified Drought Index (PMDI) value for each JuneAugust, estimating relative dryness. The 7-day average daily maximum temperature is between 3040F. There is an 70%80% chanceof below-normal temperatures during this period. This could allow for a couple of weak disturbances to introduce mainly isolated rain chances, but a disturbance coming in for Sunday could bring in a 30% chance for isolated to widely scattered storms, which may not amount to much. Texas Drought Forecast to Continue, Perhaps For Years Estimated streamflow is in the 10th25th percentile of historical streamflow values recorded at this gauge on this day of the year. The PMDI value for this location is 3.0 to 3.9, indicating severe wet (W2) conditions. Tree rings were used to reconstruct a Palmer Modified Drought Index (PMDI) value for each JuneAugust, estimating relative dryness. This location received0.51 inch of precipitation during this 7-day period. There is an 60%70% chance of above-normal temperatures during this period.  70%80% Chance of Above Normal The subtropical area of high pressure known as a "heat dome" will shift off back to the west, toward the Four Corners region and the Rocky Mountains, weakening as it does. Here's what you need to know about the heat wave gripping Texas There is an 50%60% chance of below-normal precipitation during this period.  40%50% Chance of Below Normal The average maximum temperature was 01F warmer than normal for this location. The PMDI value for this location is 5.0 or greater, indicating exceptional wet (W4) conditions. Compared to "normal" conditions, evaporative demand is forecast to be greater than 90%to 95% of historical values. Record High Extreme Drought (D3) is the third of four drought categories (D1D4), according to the U.S. Drought Monitor. Drought/dryness has improved by 2 categories, according to the U.S. Drought Monitor. As of now, the record is a seven-year dry spell that gripped the state from roughly 1950 to 1957. 13F Above Normal Learn more. Your submissions help us better understand how drought is affecting local conditions. >90% Chance of Below Normal This location received 12 inches of precipitation during this 7-day period. Moderate Drought (D1) is the first of four drought categories (D1D4), according to the U.S. Drought Monitor. View typical impacts by state. Hot weather returns next week with triple digit high temperatures TheClimate Prediction Center (CPC) produces temperature and precipitation outlooks for the U.S., including 6-10 day, 8-14 day, monthly, and seasonal outlooks. An official website of the United States government. We'd love to hear about your experience using Drought.gov! During this time period, drought development is forecast. Learn more about these categories. Click on a streamgage to view current data from the U.S. Geological Survey. There is an 70%80% chanceof below-normal precipitation during this period. There is an 33%40% chance of below-normal temperatures during this period.  33%40% Chance of Above Normal At any given time, part of the region may be in drought while another is experiencing flooding rains. Texas drought reaches 10-year peak, no rain in sight for South Plains Moderate Drought (10th20th Percentile) Drought Monitor - Water Data For Texas D3 (SPI of -1.9 to -1.6) 02nd Percentile Precipitation was 50% to 75% of the historical average for this location, compared to the same date range from 19912020. This map integrates multiple drought indices measuring precipitation and moisture into one computer-generated drought map, with a reference period of 1979present. Tree rings were used to reconstruct a Palmer Modified Drought Index (PMDI) value for each JuneAugust, estimating relative dryness. There has been no change in drought conditions at this location. Learn more. Above Normal (75th90th Percentile) Learn more. Precipitation was greater than 300% of the historical average for this location, compared to the same date range from 19912020. 90th95th Percentile Precipitation was 200% to 300% of the historical average for this location, compared to the same date range from 19912020.  >300% of Normal According to these indices, current conditions are wetter than 70% to 80% of past conditions. Learn more about these categories. 70th80th Percentile This location received46 inches of precipitation during this 7-day period. Texas' driest year on record, however, was 2011, the beginning of another multiyear drought. The average maximum temperature was 34F colder than normal for this location. Tree rings were used to reconstruct a Palmer Modified Drought Index (PMDI) value for each JuneAugust, estimating relative dryness.